Syracuse Set to Play at Duke Tonight
With only five games left to play in the college basketball regular season, Syracuse has little room for error if they hope to make the Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament and/or the NCAA Tournament. While the later will be more difficult to attain, qualifying for the ACC Tournament is still attainable for the Orange. Syracuse currently stands in 11th place in the conference standings at 6-7 and is 15-11 overall. Only 15 of the 18 teams qualify for the ACC Tournament and the Orange will likely need to win two or three more games to assure they avoid a bottom-three finish in the ACC.
Their next opportunity at a conference win comes tonight as Syracuse is in Durham, NC to face No. 4 Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The game will be broadcasted on ESPN at 7:00 p.m. Both the Orange and the Blue Devils enter the game on two-game winning streaks and are looking to continue the momentum. Duke sits atop the ACC standings at 12-1 and is 23-2 overall for fourth-year head coach Jon Scheyer, who played on the Blue Devils’ 2010 national championship team.
While this matchup used to be more of a marquee attraction featuring the coaching brilliance of the now retired hall of fame head coaches in Mike Krzyzewski of Duke and Jim Boeheim of Syracuse, it is still a matchup of legendary programs. In the case of the Orange, Syracuse seeks a return to the Orange Standard that saw them compete for conference championships and play in games of great significance deep into March annually. Third-year coach Adrian Autry has had his work cut out for him in trying to return a Syracuse program to its customary place of the NCAA Tournament. The Orange have not received an NCAA bid since 2021, a four-season drought which is the program’s longest absence since a six-year absence from 1967 through 1972.
A win over the Blue Devils tonight would be a feather in the cap for Autry and Syracuse and possibly put the Orange on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament with still more work to do. As of games played through Feb. 15, Syracuse stands 69th in the Pomeroy College Basketball ratings listed at kenpom.com while Duke is listed second. That disparity reflects a huge gap in the ratings of the Orange and the Blue Devils but anything can happen during a college basketball season. Consider that an unranked Syracuse team won 95-91 in overtime at No. 1 ranked Duke on Jan. 14, 2019 and that sparks belief for any team. Furthermore, it was just two years ago that a North Carolina State team finished 11th in the final ACC regular season standings and became the first double digit seed as a No. 10 seed to win the ACC Tournament. In doing so, the Wolfpack became just the second team ever (UConn in 2011) to win five games in five days. The five wins came over top tier schools (Louisville, Syracuse, Duke, Virginia, and North Carolina) that had each won a national title in the 2000’s. The Wolfpack then went on a miraculous run in the 2024 NCAA Tournament and reached The Final Four. There is inspiration from this that any team or coach can draw on and the Orange should keep this in mind.
To dethrone the Blue Devils on their home court tonight, it will take a monumental effort by Syracuse in several areas. Duke allows just 63.1 points per game, the third-best defensive mark in the nation while the Orange score an average of 13.4 more points per game at 76.5. Something will have to give there and in order for it to swing the way of Syracuse, the Orange will have to win the rebounding battle. That means 6-9 senior forward William Kyle III and 6-9 sophomore forward Donnie Freeman will have to outduel 6-9 freshman forward Cameron Boozer and 6-11 sophomore center Patrick Ngongba II on the glass. The Syracuse guards will also need to secure loose balls on deflections. Holding the Blue Devils off the offensive glass to prevent them from potential second chance points will also be critical for the Orange. Syracuse is 10-3 overall and 4-2 in the ACC when they outrebound their opponent this season.
The Orange play their best when they push the ball ahead with players like 6-4 senior guard J.J. starling, 6-3 junior guard Naithan George, 6-5 redshirt senior guard Nate Kingz, and 6-5 freshman guard Kiyan Anthony getting to the basket or creating for others. Taking advantage of fast break opportunities when they are there will aid the cause of Syracuse and their half court offense will need to be productive. Freeman will need to be effective with his mid-range game and inside scoring while the Orange will need perimeter scoring from Kingz and 6-8 sophomore forward Tyler Betsey, their two main 3-point threats. Kingz shoots 36.7 percent from the three-point line and has a team-high 51 triples on the season while Betsey is the team’s most efficient shooter from behind the arc at 39.4 percent (39-for-99).
Freeman leads Syracuse with 17.6 points per game and pulls down 7.2 rebounds per game while Kyle scores 8.9 ppg and leads the team with 7.7 rpg. Starling adds 12.1 ppg and Kingz scores at a 11.7 ppg clip. George adds 10.5 ppg and leads the team with 5.6 assists per game.
Boozer, the son of Duke legend Carlos Boozer, is a national player of the year candidate for the Blue Devils. He leads Duke with 22.8 points, 9.9 rebounds, and 4.0 assists per game with his scoring average also topping the ACC. Duke also gets 14.4 ppg from sophomore guard Isaiah Evans while Ngongba II scores 10.5 ppg and pulls down 6.2 rpg.
Defensively, the Orange will have to limit Boozer’s all-around game. The talented freshman is capable of knocking down the 3-point shot or taking defenders off the dribble and converting shots in the lane. Boozer can also post up and score inside with a variety of moves including a fundamentally strong drop step allowing him to get to the rim and convert.
Should the game be close in the closing minutes and fouling becomes a strategy for either team, Duke has the advantage. The Blue Devils shoot 71.7 percent from the foul line while Syracuse struggles at only 63.8 percent.
Duke’s two losses this season are by a combined four points. The Blue Devils lost 82-81 to Texas Tech at Madison Square Garden on Dec. 20 and fell 71-68 at North Carolina on Feb. 7. With this in mind, anyone’s chances to beat Duke rise in a very close finish.
As for the Orange, close games have brought mixed results this season. Syracuse is 3-4 overall and 1-2 in the ACC in games decided by one to five points. The Orange are on a bit more safer ground in games decided by 6-10 points where they are 5-3 overall and 3-3 in the ACC.
This game will likely be determined by the tempo of it. Halfcourt execution favors the Blue Devils while an up temp game with Syracuse pushing the ball and driving to the basket to score or draw fouls, favors the Orange. A margin of four to six points with three to four minutes left to play enhances the chances for Syracuse to pull off an upset whether they are down that much or ahead that much. As college basketball has shown us over decades, anything can happen.
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Amber – I appreciate your nice comments on my article on Sports Then and Now previewing the Syracuse at Duke game the other night (Feb. 16) this week. I have been writing for this web site dating back to 2010 and it is nice to receive positive feedback from readers. I have this experience on my resume and I am seeking a job in communications preferably in sports but open to other content areas as well. Do you write or do any kind of communications work? Thank-you. Chris Kent, ckent004@twcny.rr.com
Amber – Thanks again for your nice comment and encouraging my work. I appreciate it. I am striving to use this experience to land a full-time job in sports communications, preferably athletic communications in the college market.
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ckent004@twcny.rr.com
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ckent004@twcny.rr.com
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